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Brazilian End Game

December 31, 2022
10 Comments
BREAKING: Benford’s Law Analysis Applied To Second Round Of Brazilian Presidential Election –‘Red Flags’ Even More Overwhelming

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Brazilian patriots – who are a vast majority – are concerned, as the clock winds down to the Communist takeover of the country.

Nationwide protests, despite being censored by both social and corporate media (both Brazilian and global) and protest organizers being imprisoned by a rogue Supreme Court, have remained strong throughout Brazil since the 2nd round of the presidential elections was stolen at the end of October. But among more passive patriots the mood has soured, with most of my contacts now pessimistic.

But what if the intervention has already occurred?

Let me explain – which requires reviewing some Brazilian history.

Brazil, since its founding in 1500, has gone through numerous revolutions, including from colonial rule to the Brazilian Empire, from empire to republic, all of them strikingly non-violent – unlike in Spanish America.

Despite the ubiquitous leftist propaganda, the last revolution in 1964 was not a military coup. As explained by the Commander of the Brazilian Army, Gen. Marco Antônio Freire Gomes, in a recent video below, it was a completely constitutional transition of power, brought on by leftist infiltration which destabilized the country and by legitimate congressional acts. Two leftist Presidents in rapid succession either resigned or were voted out of office by congress (then allowed by the 1946 constitution). Subsequently congress mandated that presidential elections become indirect – that is, by the duly elected congress, not directly by voters. After electing a well-intended but incompetent leader, the congress changed its mind and put in its place a military triumvirate of generals.

In the 20+ years of military rule, no military leader remained beyond one term and every indirect election had free and open (usually leftist) opposition candidates.

Why do I review this history? Because Brazilians – in a mixed inheritance of both Portuguese rule and British influence – are sticklers for legitimate procedures.

Two sources – each of them patriots from historically powerful families in the region where I am visiting – this last week alerted me to a glaring omission: despite the “certification” of the presidential election in mid-December, the results never were published in the Diário Oficial, which since 1862 is the government’s official means of registering governmental acts.

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Why not? If the election was fraudulent and then attested to, via publication, as a clean, fraud-free election (despite the electoral court’s refusal to turn over either codes or databases to allow for independent verification), that itself is a fraudulent act. And those who are behind such a fraudulent publication, within the Workers’ Party likely, have committed a crime.

Freedom-loving patriots the world over have noticed President Bolsanaro’s near total silence since the stolen election. This is proper and smart. Resolving the stolen election is not a task for Bolsanaro, who cannot be seen incentivizing protestors (who are accused of being, what else?, “anti-democratic”), and saving the Brazilian Republic is not about Bolsanaro or keeping him in power.

In fact, Brazil’s dearly beloved leader just yesterday flew to the U.S. to join his family “on holiday,” leaving his vice president, a former general, in control.

Here is how the end game plays out – and American patriots need to keep in mind how Brazil is both culturally and governmentally different. A Hollywood-like military intervention is not in their DNA and will not occur.

It is also important to keep in mind that, per Brazil’s current constitution from 1988, the military plays a pivotal role – unlike in the U.S. constitution, for instance. It contains various articles on the balance of power and the military’s role in maintaining both internal stability and resolving constitutional crises – which Brazil has in spades, due to both a stolen presidential election and a completely rogue (acting outside the constitution) Supreme Court.

Foreign reporters have pointed to various articles, such as Article 142, as legitimizing military intervention. While true, one cannot expect a Hollywood-like military intervention.

Instead, it must be recognized that above the Supreme Court (or STF, which is the abbreviation for Supreme Federal Tribunal in Portuguese) stands the STM – that is, the Military Supreme Tribunal.

Brazilian Communists are not stupid and – along with lackeys from the Biden regime – have strategized how to illegitimately take power.

One strategy is to avoid publication in the Diário Oficial until the very last moment. This is the “tell” that not all is proceeding as the leftist ursurpers would hope. My contacts suggest that its publication today would, theoretically, allow for the former prisoner and felon Lula, to take power as early as possible on Jan. 1st – that is, in the colorful Brazilian phrase, “to ascend the ramp” to the presidential palace in Brasília.

But what if the STM is already – with all the documents properly signed internally – running the government?

At 8pm this evening (6pm Eastern Standard Time), Vice President Mourão is scheduled to give a national presser.

While it is possible he will announce the actual current state of affairs, he might also give “a head fake,” emboldening the Communists to proceed at pace.

So pay less attention to what Mourão says this evening, and more to any official publications today and, most importantly, if Lula is physically able to “ascend the ramp” in Brasília either on Sunday or Monday.

If not, then Brazil may very well be in the process of restoring constitutional law, and a functioning republic, in Latin America.

Don’t expect an immediate round-up of bad actors – from Lula to the Communist Supreme Court – it is not how Brazilians do things. As in 1964, bad actors are more likely to be imprisoned only if they take, or promulgate, unlawful reactions to the constitutional transition.

Lastly – due to Brazilian customs, culture, and precedence – don’t expect Bolsanaro to return to Brazil any time soon. He will need to be officially invited back to the country, in order to oversee a revamping of the entire electoral system, with clean elections as early as later next year.

Dick Borden (a pseudonym) is a Brazilianist who has published numerous articles and a book on Brazil, as well as lectured on the country to various audiences, including to the Brazilian Chamber of Commerce in New York City and Brazilian diplomats. While a resident of Florida, he is currently at an undisclosed location in Brazil.

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10 comments on “Brazilian End Game”

  1. The details in the article about Brazilian culture, government structure and political nuances help tremendously in understanding what is taking place. I am very glad I read it. I just hope and pray that the STM understands the hijacking that is taking place and acts to restore constitutional order.

    1. Shelly, thank you for such kind comments – they mean much to a writer now risking imprisonment in dictatorial Brazil. I so wish that your prayer had been answered; one can only hope against hope that the STM has methodically gathered its evidence and is waiting to present the results at the opportune time.

    1. I agree Robert: the parallels have only grown and are prominent in my recent article “Don’t Despair Brazil - Yet.” I have long held that Brazil is the U.S. of the Southern hemisphere, refracted through the tropical prism of the equator. One reason I have spent so much time in the country is that it feels like a young America.

  2. I am no PT/Lula fan but to say Brazil's revolutions/revolts were "all of them strikingly non-violent" is not historically correct. Tiradentes & conspirators executed, the anti-republic theocratic mini-state in Canudos Bahia was crushed militarily, the quilombo of Palmares destroyed after many attempts, the uprising of the Alfaiates (more executions), the separation of the Brazilian and Portuguese crowns (independence under the same royal family) involved " campaigns on land and sea covered the vast territories of Bahia, Cisplatina, Grão-Pará, Maranhão, Pernambuco, Ceará and Piauí." (Wikipedia), the revolt of the ragamuffins/farrapos in the south more battles/bloodshed https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Ragamuffin_War,and the Paulista constitutionist revolution (1932) In total, there were 87 days of fighting (July 9 to October 4, 1932—with the last two days after the surrender of São Paulo), with a balance of 934 official deaths, though non-official estimates report up to 2,200 dead. Those are the ones that come to my mind. May be others.

    1. Thank you Glenn for your learned comment on Brazilian history. I can see how my phrasing could be taken to mean “strikingly non-violent” in absolute terms, when I should have emphasized it in relative terms. Clearly, all the revolts you mention included violence. I tried to suggest the comparative terms in the phrase “unlike in Spanish America” that immediately follows. Some of Brazil’s most significant “revolutions” – including from colony to Empire, from Empire to Republic, and even the 1964 transition to triumvirate miliary rule (not including the violent reactions to it which led to deaths) – all produced a handful or less of deaths. My observation is gleaned from a half dozen or so Brazilian history books (most of which you likely know, from the sound of it), including Boris Fausto’s A Concise History of BRAZIL. As for the comparative observation, please look to books such as John A Crow’s The Epic of Latin America to see how far more sanguine were such rebellions throughout Spanish America. Also, just think of how many died in the American Revolutionary and Civil Wars, when the very same transitions in Brazil involved almost no death at all. To avoid any confusion, my phrase could be modified to “strikingly non-violent in comparative terms.”

    1. Thanks for the confirmation, Dr. Bobbi. I just posted "Don't Despair Brazil - Yet" including the sad fact you mention.

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